Your Friday Football Fix and Picks: Cardinals Offense Blanks Vikes, Lions May Choke, LSU-Florida a Close One

Once again, I’m gonna jump right into the picks this week…with comments on the games that grab my attention.

NFL Week 11

Kevin Wheeler
101ESPN’s Kevin Wheeler

New Orleans @ Carolina (-3) (Nothing to brag about here! Vegas nailed it.)

Pittsburgh (-8) @ Cleveland

(This line seems low. The Browns are historically bad and I’d think this spread should be double digits. It’s too easy. That’s exactly what should make us all a little nervous.)

Baltimore @ Dallas (-7)

(This one kinda scares me on the point spread. Ravens are strong defensively but I just don’t see their offense doing enough to keep up.)

Tennessee @ Indianapolis (-3)

Buffalo @ Cincinnati (-2.5)

Jacksonville @ Detroit (-6.5)

(Detroit is the better team and has a lot on the line. They should win, right? Well, I’m going that way but don’t be surprised if they choke on this one. The Lions have a way of doing that, losing when they should win easily.)

Tampa Bay @ Kansas City (-7.5)

(It’s that hook…if this one was just 7 instead of 7.5 I’d be picking the Chiefs. I’m not locked in on this one, it’s uncomfortable to me, but I almost always expect close games with the Chiefs.)

Chicago @ NY Giants (-7.5)

Arizona @ Minnesota (-2)

(The Vikings’ collapse continues. Arizona’s defense will cause lots of trouble for Bradford and Co. and I also expect the Arizona offense to find a way to score a bit. David Johnson in beast mode makes the difference along with Larry Fitzgerald playing in his home state.)

Miami (-1.5) @ Los Angeles

(The Dolphins are playing better of late and the Rams are starting Jared Goff for the first time. That line seems awfully light for the Phins. Rams defense is good and makes the game closer than it should be but I’m smelling a defensive score for Miami.)

New England (-13) @ San Francisco

(The only way the Patriots don’t cover here is if they completely mail it in.)

Philadelphia @ Seattle (-6.5)

(Seattle is starting to roll on offense and I just don’t see their defense allowing Carson Wentz and the Eagles much breathing room, especially in Seattle.)

Green Bay @ Washington (-3)

(I really hate this game. I flipped a coin on this one. I’m not sure Washington is as good as their record and I’m not sure Green Bay is as bad as theirs. Okay, I didn’t really flip a coin. I picked the home team – Packers are 1-3 away from Lambeau so far this season.)

Houston @ Oakland (-5.5)

(Derek Carr lights up his big brother’s former team. Houston is a bit fraudulent, IMO, at 6-3 this season. Brock Osweiler is terrible and that’s also slowing up the running game. Raiders in a romp.)

Last Week: 4-10

Season Total: 77-69-1

College Football Week 12

#5 Louisville (-17) @ Houston (I don’t think I’ve ever been more wrong about a game in my life. LOL.)

UNLV @ #20 Boise State (-28.5)

#11 Oklahoma State @ TCU (-4.5)

(TCU has beaten one decent team all year – Baylor – and that’s a team I’ve seen as being vastly overrated all season long. Okie State lost to Baylor, so there’s that, but their offense is humming. Cowboys by a TD.)

#2 Ohio State (-21.5) @ Michigan State

(Normally in a game like this I’d be taking the points but Sparty has been too awful to trust. Ohio State has a lot to be fired up for with Michigan next week, I expect them to be sharp in this tune-up.) 

UT-San Antonio @ #25 Texas A&M (-27.5)

Maryland @ #18 Nebraska (-13)

#7 Wisconsin (-28) @ Purdue

#23 Florida @ #16 LSU (-14)

(I expect LSU to win this one but I think Florida is good enough defensively to make it a game. If the Gators give LSU a defensive TD then the Tigers will cover.)

Oregon @ #12 Utah (-14.5)

Missouri @ #19 Tennessee (-16)

(Mizzou hasn’t done enough to convince me they’re ready to handle a decent SEC team, which is all Tennessee really is. They’ve mostly been ripped by SEC opponents, save Vanderbilt, so I’m having a tough time seeing this one staying close.)

Iowa (-9.5) @ Illinois

#22 Washington State @ #10 Colorado (-5.5)

(One of the best games of the week. Washington State has an 8-game winning streak and they’re lighting up the scoreboard every single week. Colorado is good but I think they’re a bit overrated.)

Indiana @ #3 Michigan (-24)

(I think the Hoosiers hang around a bit in this one. Michigan is going with their backup QB with Speight out and Indiana has hung close in a few of their losses.)

Buffalo @ #21 Western Michigan (-35)

#17 Florida State (-21) @ Syracuse

#24 Stanford (-11) @ California

Chattanooga @ #1 Alabama (no line)

#4 Clemson (-22.5) @ Wake Forest

(Clemson is highly motivated after last week’s embarrassing loss and I think they’ll take it out on the Demon Deacons, a team that hasn’t beaten a single good opponent all year.)

Alabama A&M @ #15 Auburn (no line)

Arizona State @ #6 Washington (-27)

(Much like with Clemson, I think Washington comes out with a huge chip on its shoulder and puts up a big, big number against the Sun Devils. With Louisville’s loss they could be in prime position after Michigan-Ohio State loser gets dropped a week from Saturday.)

#9 Oklahoma (-3.5) @ #14 West Virginia

(I’ve been going against WVU all season long and I’m not about to stop. The Sooners are hot, they’re scoring tons of points and I think they can handle a pretty modest point spread.)

#8 Penn State (-28) @ Rutgers

#13 USC (-13) @ UCLA

(USC wins it but UCLA keeps it interesting in this rivalry game. Keep in mind, the Bruins haven’t lost a game by more than 10 points this season and that only happened once. The rest of their losses were by 9 points or less. I think this will be closer than it seems at first glance.)

Last Week: 10-13

Season Total: 103-103-1

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