Season Results: Sunday wasn’t kind to me, as both of my picks missed. The Red Sox-Orioles over 8.5 missed badly despite Boston scoring a run in the top of the first inning. Unfortunately, the umpire trend that headlined my column that day backfired. It happens. My Pirates selection also missed, as a late Pittsburgh rally wasn’t enough in the Giants’ 4-3 victory. After a hot start, I’m now 8-5 on the season.
Here are my selections for Wednesday…
(911) Seattle Mariners at (912) Oakland A’s, 2:35 p.m. CT
I wasn’t able to post today’s column before “The Turn” but I handed out this selection on air right before first pitch. I broke down the differences between the betting tickets and money wagered, as well as the umpire, in my selection of the under. As of this writing, the score is still 0-0 in the top of the ninth inning. Crazier things have happened, but the under looks great.
Prediction: Mariners/A’s under 8.5
(927) Los Angeles Angels at (928) San Diego Padres, 8:10 p.m. CT
Under bettors were burned in the first two games of this series. In Game 1 on Monday night, the two teams combined to score six runs from the bottom of the eighth inning on, torching bettors that had under 8. Then in Game 2 on Tuesday, these two teams combined to score 10 runs in a 7-3 Halos’ victory, this time the over cashing in the bottom of the sixth. Despite back-to-back high-scoring finishes, I like the under tonight. In Pena’s last seven starts for the Angels, the under is 6-1. In Ramon De Jesus’ last seven games behind home plate, the under is 5-1-1. Oddsmakers have already dropped the total from the opening number of 8.5 down to 8, and while 62% of the betting tickets are on the over, 75% of the money wagered on this game is on the under. Everything lines up for a low-scoring game tonight in San Diego.
Prediction: Angels/Padres under 8
907 San Francisco Giants at 908 Los Angeles Dodgers, 9:10 p.m. CT
The projected lineup for the Dodgers has a hard contact rate of 41% and a walk rate of 13% but they haven’t scored more than four runs in their last five games. Derek Holland has quietly had a nice season for the Giants and he draws the start in pitcher-friendly Dodger Stadium tonight. On the other side, Hyun-Jin Ryu missed the last three and a half months with a groin injury but nobody in this Giants lineup is imposing outside of Buster Posey. In the last six meetings between these two teams, the under is 5-0-1. In the last 26 meetings at Dodger Stadium, the under is 19-6-1.
Prediction: Giants/Dodgers under 8
MLB: 8-5 (+250.00)
*Based on projected $100.00 wagers)